The Week 13 NFL slate kicks off with some nice Thanksgiving Day soccer. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the keys to each Thursday sport, a daring prediction for every matchup and ultimate rating predictions.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data supplies a stat to know for every sport and the present playoff image, and the Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a matchup ranking (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a sport projection. ESPN Fantasy’s Kyle Soppe and ESPN Chalk’s David Bearman hand out useful nuggets, as properly. It is all right here to assist get you prepared for a loaded day of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the total Thanksgiving Day schedule, together with a showdown between two NFC South groups on Thursday evening during which one crew can already clinch a playoff spot.
Leap to a matchup:
CHI-DET | BUF-DAL | NO-ATL
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1. New England Patriots (10-1)
2. Baltimore Ravens (9-2)
3. Houston Texans (7-4)
4. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (7-4)
5. Buffalo Payments (8-3)
6. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5)
1. San Francisco 49ers (10-1)
2. New Orleans Saints (9-2)
3. Inexperienced Bay Packers (8-3)
4. Dallas Cowboys (6-5)
5. Seattle Seahawks (9-2)
6. Minnesota Vikings (8-3)
The Saints will clinch the NFC South and a playoff spot with a win on Thanksgiving. Even when the Panthers have been to win out, the Saints would maintain the tiebreaker within the division. Per ESPN Stats & Data analysis, it could tie the earliest clinch of the NFC South within the division’s historical past, which dates again to 2002 (2009 Saints, 2012 Falcons and 2015 Panthers).
12:30 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup ranking: 35.0 | Unfold: CHI -4.5 (37)
What to observe for: The Lions have misplaced seven of their previous eight video games, coach Matt Patricia is on the recent seat, and an area radio station and an area columnist have every referred to as for Detroit followers to not present up Thursday to ship a message to the Ford household in regards to the route of the franchise. Two weeks in the past, Dallas followers invaded Detroit — and if it occurs once more in entrance of a nationwide viewers, it may make waves. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: Bears rookie working again David Montgomery will rush for greater than 100 yards. He has cracked 100 speeding yards in only one sport this yr, however he is recent after carrying the ball solely 13 instances for 22 yards towards the Giants. Why is that necessary? As a result of the Bears have a particularly tight turnaround with Thursday’s sport on the highway. — Jeff Dickerson
Stat to know: The Bears’ offense is 31st within the NFL in yards per play, 29th in yards per rush and 30th in passing yards per sport. However then there’s the Lions’ protection, which ranks 26th in yards per play, 20th in yard per rush and 30th in passing yards per sport.
What to know for fantasy: The Lions’ Bo Scarbrough has 76.2% of the Detroit working again carries over the previous two weeks (4.Eight yards per carry). See Week 13 rankings.
Betting nugget: In its previous 11 Thanksgiving Day video games, Detroit is 1-10 towards the unfold (ATS) as an underdog (going again to 2004). Learn extra.
Dickerson’s choose: Bears 16, Lions 13
Rothstein’s choose: Bears 21, Lions 17
FPI prediction: CHI, 49.9%
Matchup must-reads: Lions’ Darius Slay has his personal model of Friday Evening Lights … Name off the search get together, Bears’ Khalil Mack may be again
4:30 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup ranking: 58.0 | Unfold: DAL -7 (47)
What to observe for: Dallas receiver Amari Cooper has simply 17 receptions for 213 yards in six highway video games, however he has 39 receptions for 673 yards and 5 touchdowns in 5 dwelling video games, together with greater than 100 yards receiving in his previous three dwelling contests. But Buffalo is permitting simply 184.Three passing yards per sport and has allowed only one 100-yard receiver in a sport this season. — Todd Archer
Chris Berman and Tom Jackson recap the weekend’s video games with prolonged highlights and evaluation.
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Daring prediction: Buffalo’s Tre’Davious White holds Cooper to fewer than 40 yards as he continues his marketing campaign as one of many NFL’s elite cornerbacks. In all, the Payments maintain the Cowboys below 300 yards however cannot muster up sufficient offense of their very own to get the win. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to know: The Cowboys have misplaced 4 straight Thanksgiving video games towards groups that entered with a win share nearly as good because the Payments’ present mark of .727. In actual fact, the final time they gained a Turkey Day sport towards such a crew was in 1999, after they gained 20-Zero towards the 8-2 Dolphins.
What to know for fantasy: After producing simply 274 receiving yards in his first seven video games this season, Dallas’ Randall Cobb has 307 in his previous three video games. See Week 13 rankings.
Betting nugget: Dallas is 1-Three ATS towards groups with a profitable file this yr. And Buffalo is 4-0-1 ATS on the highway this season. Learn extra.
Louis-Jacques’ choose: Cowboys 17, Payments 10
Archer’s choose: Cowboys 31, Payments 20
FPI prediction: DAL, 78.5% (by a mean of 10.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Cowboys at level in season the place ‘it makes you or breaks you’ … Cole Beasley mixes soccer, rap profession: ‘Fixated on proving individuals incorrect’ … NFL execs predict Dak’s (and Dallas’) future: He wager on himself … and can win … ‘Dak Dance’ is a viral sensation — and a pregame necessity for Prescott … Payments have prime alternative to impress on nationwide stage
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC
Matchup ranking: 70.6 | Unfold: NO -6.5 (48.5)
What to observe for: The Falcons’ offensive line seemed disastrous in final week’s loss to the Bucs, and coach Dan Quinn did not rule out making some modifications up entrance. The Saints appear more likely to make some defensive changes, as properly, after sacking Matt Ryan simply as soon as again in Week 10 and permitting the Falcons to hurry for a season-high 143 yards that day. — Vaughn McClure
Daring prediction: New Orleans makes up for its dreadful 26-9 loss to Atlanta three weeks in the past and holds the Falcons and not using a landing. The Saints’ protection has been superb this yr, however it must be further motivated after a leaky 34-31 win over Carolina in Week 12. Getting cornerback Marshon Lattimore again from a hamstring damage could be a giant enhance. — Mike Triplett
Stat to know: Saints receiver Michael Thomas’ 104 receptions are essentially the most by a participant by means of 11 video games in NFL historical past. And he’s on tempo for 151 catches this season, which might be an NFL file (Marvin Harrison had 143 in 2002).
What to know for fantasy: New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees threw 45 passes and not using a single landing toss in these groups’ first assembly this season, one thing he has solely achieved 5 instances in his Corridor of Fame profession. However it’s value noting that the final time he performed in Atlanta, he produced essentially the most fantasy factors he ever has in a highway sport (40.5). See Week 13 rankings.
Betting nugget: The Saints are 11-Three ATS on the highway for the reason that begin of final season. Learn extra.
Triplett’s choose: Saints 20, Falcons 9
McClure’s choose: Saints 24, Falcons 21
FPI prediction: NO, 55.7% (by a mean of two.Zero factors)
Matchup must-reads: When Falcons’ Matt Ryan reaches 50,000 yards, fantasy will develop into actuality … Sean Payton: Saints’ penalty downside will ‘price us a much bigger sport’